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    FPI sell-off intensifies in February amid Trump commerce impact 

    The exodus of International Portfolio Buyers (FPIs) from Indian fairness markets continued unabated this month, with internet outflows touching ₹22,272 crore until February 14, depositories information confirmed. 

    Taking collectively the online outflows of ₹78,027 crore in January 2025, the whole internet withdrawal to this point this calendar yr stood at ₹ 99,299 crore. 

    Apart from one session, FPIs remained internet sellers all through the month, because the Trump commerce impact drove capital away from rising markets.

    Regardless of the FPI’s sustained promoting spree, the Indian authorities stays unperturbed, viewing the pattern as a part of profit-booking moderately than an indication of misery. “Indian fundamentals stay sturdy, and most FPIs are exiting solely after reserving wholesome earnings,” official sources mentioned.

    What’s Driving FPI Outflows?

    The strengthening greenback and rising U.S. bond yields, triggered by Donald Trump’s return to the White Home, have made U.S. property extra engaging, resulting in capital flight from Indian equities. 

    In distinction to the heavy promoting in January and February 2025, FPIs had been internet consumers of ₹15,448 crore in December 2024 however had offloaded ₹94,017 crore and ₹21,612 crore in October and November, respectively.

    Professional’s take  

    VK Vijayakumar, Chief Funding Strategist, Geojit Monetary Companies, mentioned, “Regardless of many constructive developments like a very good Funds, fee reduce by the RBI and slight enchancment in Q3 outcomes, the FPIs continued to press gross sales. The full FPI promoting this month by February 14 stood at ₹23,242 crore within the money market. This takes the whole FPI promoting within the money market to ₹ 105145 crores in 2025”.

    Since largecaps dominate the property below custody of FPIs, largecaps have been going through the brunt of FPI promoting. Relentless promoting in largecaps has made their valuations engaging, opening up alternatives for long-term traders, Vijayakumar added.

    “Reversal of FPI technique will occur when the greenback index strikes down. This may occur however we will’t predict when”, he mentioned. 

    Vipul Bhowar, Senior Director – Listed Investments, Waterfield Advisors, mentioned, “Current shifts in world insurance policies, particularly these rising from the U.S., are invoking a way of uncertainty amongst International Portfolio Buyers (FPIs), which in flip is reshaping their funding methods in dynamic markets like India”.

    The attract of U.S. property has intensified, pushed by rising bond yields which have made these investments appear safer. This has led many FPIs to pivot away from Indian and different rising market shares, he mentioned. 

    Buyers are more and more drawn to the promise of safer returns provided by U.S. equities, leaving many markets, together with India, of their shadow.

    Himanshu Srivastava, Affiliate Director—Supervisor Analysis, Morningstar Funding, mentioned that international portfolio traders (FPIs) prolonged their promoting streak within the Indian fairness markets this previous week, marking the tenth consecutive week of internet outflows. 

    The sustained exodus of international capital from Indian equities was pushed by a mix of world and home components.

    A significant catalyst was the escalation in world commerce tensions, which considerably weighed on investor sentiment. Market issues heightened following stories that U.S. President Donald Trump was contemplating imposing new tariffs on metal and aluminum imports, together with reciprocal tariffs on a number of nations. These developments reignited fears of a possible world commerce warfare, prompting FPIs to re-evaluate their publicity to rising markets, together with India.

    Regardless of the current market correction, elevated valuations in Indian equities, particularly relative to different rising markets, would have almost certainly prompted traders to reallocate funds to extra attractively priced markets, contributing to the continued sell-off, he mentioned.

    One other vital issue driving outflows was the elevated U.S. bond yields, which boosted the attraction of U.S. property, providing traders a safer and better return various. Because of this, FIIs continued to withdraw from Indian equities in favour of U.S. markets, the place risk-adjusted returns appeared extra beneficial, he mentioned.

    “These components collectively fuelled FPI outflows through the week, underlining the cautious stance adopted by international traders amid prevailing world uncertainties and home challenges”, Srivastava added.

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